Eastman's Online Genealogy Newsletter has reported on the LocateMyName website that gives the count of a name in their records and then estimates what this means for the actual numbers. On looking at it, I am concerned with what it seems to be telling me. For example, it shows the following for their top five countries for the name GRAY - the columns being country, he count in their records and the estimate: Country Records Estimate USA 307,166 382,841 Canada 8,729 24,995 UK 1,758 7,884 Australia 895 11,055 New Zealand 413 4,812 It also indicates that GRAY is ranked as number 222 in the UK. While I have no problems with the numbers of people they have in their databases, the estimate as to how many there are would seem to be wildly inaccurate. Does anyone know anything about this site? Regards Chris

I looked at KELSALL on the same site and came up with a number of 2713 for the UK which is consistent with estimates I have made from various sources, possibly a little on the low side. I calculated the ratios of Estimate to Records for each country and found exactly the same results for Kelsall and Gray (e.g. 4.48 for the UK). You also might want to compare with numbers from the Public Profiler site. Has anyone estimated current populations by extrapolation from the census through 1911 and the 1939 register. I would be interested in comparing notes and results. If I exactly match the total population growth I get 3381 for Kelsall. I know there are lots of hairy assumptions and approximations involved but it is a number to compare with other methods. Peter Kelsall -----Original Message----- From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Christopher.Gray via Sent: Wednesday, May 18, 2016 1:38 AM To: Goons <[email protected]> Subject: [G] LocateMyName? Eastman's Online Genealogy Newsletter has reported on the LocateMyName website that gives the count of a name in their records and then estimates what this means for the actual numbers. On looking at it, I am concerned with what it seems to be telling me. For example, it shows the following for their top five countries for the name GRAY - the columns being country, he count in their records and the estimate: Country Records Estimate USA 307,166 382,841 Canada 8,729 24,995 UK 1,758 7,884 Australia 895 11,055 New Zealand 413 4,812 It also indicates that GRAY is ranked as number 222 in the UK. While I have no problems with the numbers of people they have in their databases, the estimate as to how many there are would seem to be wildly inaccurate. Does anyone know anything about this site? Regards Chris _____________________________________________ RootsWeb lists - surnames, regions, software, etc: http://lists.rootsweb.ancestry.com/ ------------------------------- To unsubscribe from the list, please send an email to [email protected] with the word 'unsubscribe' without the quotes in the subject and the body of the message