Stuck your Beezley in as exact spelling on Family Search - 13000 results in 7000 datasets https://familysearch.org/search/record/results?count=20&query=%2Bsurname%3Abeezley Marie (GOONS 5318) Bringing the world together one surname at a time. 'A Pepler Name' http://pepler.tribalpages.com 'Hedgerow - the Ancestors' http://cranberry.tribalpages.com Pepler DNA Study http://www.familytreedna.com/public/pepler-ow/ 'Scroops, Scropes and Scroopes' http://dentonlk.tribalpages.com 'Peplers and Peplows' pepler.one-name.net ________________________________ From: Doug Beezley <dbeezley@gmail.com> To: Goons Mailing List <goons@rootsweb.com> Sent: Tuesday, April 25, 2017 9:48 AM Subject: [G] Defining an ONS - Size of project The is a recent discussion of "Scope of an ONS - Spouses families". I believe it a good thing to compare notes on how we define what we do. There has been a discussion about estimating the size of the ONS. Unless I've missed something (and most likely I have), the most specific ideas have to do with using UK census figures which are, of course, a limited population. The tools I have used are: http://forebears.io/surnames/ http://worldnames.publicprofiler.org/ They each have their advantages. I find that, for statistical purposes, Forebears is more useful but I've used both for maps that can drill down into the statistics. I suspect most such tools are going to be more useful for English based names, but I have no way to know that, as mine is clearly of Old English derivation. I have found no other derivation that would lead to modern usage of the name with its principal variations (in order of prevalence) Beasley, Beesley, Beazley, and Beezley. Minor variations might include Beasly or Beesly. I do include a number of deviations if they are statistically significant because there are many that represent misspellings that are likely intended to be one of the major variations. It is necessary to approach this with a good idea of what are your variations and what are your deviations. In order to capture the best range, it is necessary to search for more than one variation. Then it is necessary to sort out results that fall below a level of statistical significance. At some point, you come up with a number that seems a solid estimate. Before I found the links above, I used the US 2000 census which listed incidence and ranking of all surnames registering at least 100 individuals. In that case, the four major variations accounted for 50,948. The only logical deviations (3) that made the cut only added another 750. Using Forebears, the US count for the four major variations is 59,441, adding 866 for another 6 deviations. The world count (filtering out countries and deviations to a level of significance at least 98% of the total world count) The Total World Count (all countries, all variations/deviations) is 85,305. The TWC of the four major variations is 82,392. The Total World Filtered Count is 84,122 and the TWFC for the four major variations is 81,314. Stepping back from all the reasons why precise numbers are useless, we can come up with a range that I would feel safe saying the incidence of my surname to be between 80,000 and 90,000 worldwide. While the capture of any particular surname in these tools is going to vary, the results need to be taken with a grain of salt. However, we might be able to broadly compare the size of our ONS projects and how the conduct and results of the project may vary at different size levels. Here are links to the charts where I took my numbers in the narrative above: Compare US 2000 census with Forebears: https://1drv.ms/i/s!AqrESx5rTBC7j-cB-UKi0CQUzfJwdQ Forebears results; variations and deviations by country: https://1drv.ms/i/s!AqrESx5rTBC7j-cAR6jIwozunuyEWA Doug Beezley _____________________________________________ Information and admin page: http://one-name.org/guild-information-administration/ ------------------------------- To unsubscribe from the list, please send an email to GOONS-request@rootsweb.com with the word 'unsubscribe' without the quotes in the subject and the body of the message